This Key Event Relationship is licensed under the Creative Commons BY-SA license. This license allows reusers to distribute, remix, adapt, and build upon the material in any medium or format, so long as attribution is given to the creator. The license allows for commercial use. If you remix, adapt, or build upon the material, you must license the modified material under identical terms.
Relationship: 2147
Title
Increased, Male Biased Sex Ratio leads to Decrease, Population growth rate
Upstream event
Downstream event
Key Event Relationship Overview
AOPs Referencing Relationship
AOP Name | Adjacency | Weight of Evidence | Quantitative Understanding | Point of Contact | Author Status | OECD Status |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aromatase inhibition leads to male-biased sex ratio via impacts on gonad differentiation | adjacent | Low | Brendan Ferreri-Hanberry (send email) | Under Development: Contributions and Comments Welcome | WPHA/WNT Endorsed | |
Androgen receptor agonism leading to male-biased sex ratio | adjacent | Evgeniia Kazymova (send email) | Open for citation & comment | WPHA/WNT Endorsed |
Taxonomic Applicability
Sex Applicability
Sex | Evidence |
---|---|
Male | High |
Life Stage Applicability
Term | Evidence |
---|---|
Adults | High |
Key Event Relationship Description
Long-term maintenance of viable populations is dependent on the nature of interactions between males and females. One commonly used metric for capturing these interactions is evaluation of deviations from normal of the relative number of males versus females in a population. The ratio of males versus females needed for successful sexual reproduction varies by taxa, with some species requiring a one-to-one relationship, while in other species far fewer males than females may suffice in terms of producing an adequate number of fertile embryos to maintain a population. However, even in species potentially requiring fewer males than females to maintain a viable population, at some point a male-biased population could become problematic in terms of having an adequate number of males to fertilize eggs produced by females or, in the longer term, ensure a robust level of genetic diversity in a population. Further, in situations where a population is male-biased relative to conditions considered normal for a given species, overall productivity may be negatively impacted due to fewer females being available to produce eggs.
Evidence Collection Strategy
Evidence Supporting this KER
As described below there are both empirical data and population modeling/simulation approaches that provide evidence for this KER.
Biological Plausibility
The plausibility that a male-biased sex ratio would affect population status of different species is strong. For any given population, a male-biased sex ratio suggests that the number of available breeding females is reduced. If the male-biased sex ratio persists and/or increases over time, the offspring production will decrease and population size would be reduced. Additionally, for certain species, an increasing number of males could cause negative behavioral responses, for example, a higher competition for mating leading to more aggressive behaviors that can result in reduced adult survival rates for both male and females. A reduced effective population also affects genetic diversity, which can further reduce population viability.
Empirical Evidence
There have been limited examples of field evaluation of the consequences of male-biased sex ratios on population status, as well as several modeling efforts focused on aspects of population viability in situations where a male-skewed situation could occur. These analyses have focused on avian, reptile or fish species, several of which undergo at least some degree of environmental sex determination.
- Surveys and viability analyses of a Tuatara (Sphenodon punctatus) population by Grayson et al. (2014) showed that a current population of 56% males at hatching would result in a 12% probability of extinction within the timeframe of the analysis (60 of 500 simulated populations become extinct, mean time to extinction=1183.3 years).
- Using a behavioral approach Le Galliard et al. (2005) looked at how male-biased sex ratios in the common lizard (Lacerta vivipara) can negatively impacted mating to reduce population viability.
- In Kakapo (Strigops habroptilus), an endangered parrot species, male-biased production was shown to result in a prolonged species recovery, which risks conservation efforts to build a sustainable population and prevent the species from going extinct (Clout et al 2002; Robertson et al. 2006).
- A model-based viability analysis by Brown et al. (2015) showed that a male-biased population due to environmental stressors could lead to a sharp decline in zebrafish (Danio rerio) population levels.
- Miller et al. (2022) developed a matrix model for fathead minnow (Pimephales promelas) that demonstrated how even minor increases in the proportion of males in this species could substantially affect population status over time due to a loss of breeding females.
Uncertainties and Inconsistencies
Studies at the population level can be quite challenging in terms of required resources and, given the number of variables that might simultaneously influence a population, interpretation of results. Consequently, evaluation of population status in the context of adverse outcome pathways often relies upon model predictions that almost always are applicable only to a limited number of--sometimes one--species because of requirements associated with model parameterization. Given this, although it is entirely reasonable from an evolutionary perspective that male-biased sex ratios will negatively impact populations of a given species, it can be difficult to fully assess what this impact may be.
Known modulating factors
Population status can be impacted by a multitude of interacting biotic and abiotic variables, some of which could entirely supersede the effects of a male-biased sex ratio. For example, under conditions of severe food limitations or a regime of extreme temperature there may be no production of young irrespective of male:female sex ratios.
Quantitative Understanding of the Linkage
For a given species the linkage between a male-biased population and impacts on overall status of that population can be highly quantitative. For example, the model described by Miller et al. (2022) is designed specifically to provide quantitative forecasts of the effects of different male:female sex ratios on population status in fathead minnows. However, parameterization of any population model for vital rates (survival, reproductive output) is necessarily species-specific so, even if a given model construct is potentially suitable for a wide range of species, a significant amount of taxa-specific biological information might be needed to produce reliable quantitative predictions of effects.
Response-response Relationship
Brown et al. (2015) and Miller et al. (2022) provide examples for zebrafish and fathead minnows, respectively, of approaches used to establish quantitative response-response relationships between male-biased sex ratios and population size/trends. In general, however, population models almost always rely on female productivity rather than male contributions to forecast population status.
Time-scale
The time-scale for this KER is entirely dependent on the life-cyle of the organism of interest. Small, short-lived animal species could experience population-level alterations due to biased sex ratios in days to weeks, while impacts on larger, long-lived species may take years to decades.
Known Feedforward/Feedback loops influencing this KER
It is difficult to define what form a feedforward/feedback loop might take for this KER. This would likely largely be a function of the stressor causing a male-biased population. If the stressor was short-term (e.g., affecting one age cohort) the situation might be self-correcting, as opposed to a longer-term stressor that continually causes a male-biased sex ratio, which theoretically should usually result in population extirpation.
Domain of Applicability
Any sexually-reproducing species theoretically could experience male-biased sex ratios and consequent population-level effects.
References
Brown, A. R., Owen, S. F., Peters, J., Zhang, Y., Soffker, M., Paull, G. C., Hosken, D. J., Wahab, M. A., & Tyler, C. R. (2015). Climate change and pollution speed declines in zebrafish populations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(11), E1237–E1246. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1416269112
Clout, M. & Elliott, G. & Robertson, B. (2002). Effects of supplementary feeding on the offspring sex ratio of Kakapo: a dilemma for the conservation of a polygynous parrot. Biological Conservation. 107. 13-18. 10.1016/S0006-3207(01)00267-1.
Grayson, K. L., Mitchell, N. J., Monks, J. M., Keall, S. N., Wilson, J. N., & Nelson, N. J. (2014). Sex ratio bias and extinction risk in an isolated population of Tuatara (Sphenodon punctatus). PloS one, 9(4), e94214.
Le Galliard, J. F., Fitze, P. S., Ferrière, R., & Clobert, J. (2005). Sex ratio bias, male aggression, and population collapse in lizards. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 102(50), 18231–18236.
Miller, D.H., D.L. Villeneuve, K.J. Santana-Rodriguez and G.T. Ankley. 2022. A multi-dimensional matrix model for predicting the effects of male-biased sex ratios on fish populations. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry. 41, 1066-1077
Robertson, B. C., Elliott, G. P., Eason, D. K., Clout, M. N., & Gemmell, N. J. (2006). Sex allocation theory aids species conservation. Biology letters, 2(2), 229–231.